The market demand of service robot in the first ye

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The market demand for service robots is emerging in the first year, and needs to be explored.

recently, Alibaba Group announced that it had reached strategic cooperation with Foxconn and the robot holding subsidiary of Softbank of Japan. Alibaba and Foxconn respectively injected 14.5 billion yen into the robot company and held 20% of their shares, while the experimental speed of pepper emotional robot produced by the company will start production. The dynamics of Internet giants are always the wind vane of industrial hot spots. Ma Yun's investment in robots has further stimulated the market's attention to service robots. However, it may not be a short way for service robots to move from attractive concept to real market demand

in addition to the popularization of cleaning robots, more service robots are still at the stage of R & D and prototype, and the technology and services still lag behind the expectations of consumers. However, the real market demand and positioning of teaching and research institutions and enterprises are not very clear. The service robot has not yet entered the stage of product competition. Duanxingguang, a professor at Beijing University of technology, said in an interview

from the first year of the year to

the industry regards Ali's investment in robots as a strategic layout and believes that it will enter the artificial intelligence robot industry from this beginning. Ma Yun also said in public that the robot industry is expected to become a key field for catalyzing scientific and technological breakthroughs in medical treatment, public services, research and smart home during the construction process

professor dunxiangming of Shanghai Jiaotong University pointed out in an interview that the cooperation between Ma Yun, Foxconn and Softbank of Japan is highly complementary. Alibaba's cloud computing capability and big data are the key technologies of service robots. Foxconn has the leading strength in the manufacturing industry, while Softbank's pepper robot in Japan initially took Japan as the target market, because the aging characteristics of the region determine that the demand for products is stronger. From every point of view, this is an international power alliance

however, some people in the industry have questioned the nationalization gene of service robots. The intellectualization of service robots will eventually exceed human imagination. Therefore, this will involve national strategic security issues. I don't think the country will allow foreign robots to enter the domestic home market on a large scale. An insider commented

another reason why Ma Yun's investment robot has attracted wide attention is that the industry believes that this is an obvious signal for Internet giants to get involved in the field of service robots. Previously, a series of favorable policies such as the 12th Five Year Plan for the development of intelligent manufacturing technology and the 12th Five Year Plan for the development of service robot technology have gradually warmed up the service robot industry. This year will be the first year for civil and commercial service robots to enter the market

service robot is now the hot spot of investment. In the past few years, it has moved from laboratory to niche and scale sales. Although it is still immature, there are also special industrial supporting resources in China. Liuxuenan has been working in the service robot industry for eight years. In 2006, he founded Kangli Youlan, which is currently jointly invested by two listed companies, Kangli elevator and Ziguang Co., Ltd., specializing in the field of intelligent service robots. It also has a small excellent robot for children's education and a 1.28-meter-high service robot to be released in November this year

service robots can be divided into two types: action robots and brain robots with artificial intelligence as the core. Liuxuenan believes that action robots will not be the focus in the short term. On the one hand, because complex actions are loaded, the stability is reduced and the cost is increased, which is difficult to bring sufficient commercial value. On the other hand, mobile robots are harmful to humans and may have negative effects. In contrast, small and excellent brain robots will become the mainstream

as for the core competitiveness of the service robot, xiazhimin, founder of human intelligence technology, told us that it has high requirements for integration and integration capabilities. However, with the development and integration of software, network environment, big data, intelligent sensing and other supporting industries, integration has become relatively easy, and the market-oriented cost of service robots has been greatly reduced. He believes that at present, artificial intelligence is generally imperfect, and some of them remain in laboratories and cannot be used commercially. The mode of human intelligence technology is to take the integration route, become a vehicle factory for service robots, and promote industrial application through customized and modular development and production

here comes the tuyere

facing the tuyere of the first year of service robot in 2015, chenxiaosen, founder of Beijing senhan Technology Co., Ltd., was skeptical. I don't know if it's true. It turned out that before and after the 2008 Olympic Games, and in 2010, there were two false tuyeres, which did not blow

senhan technology, founded by him, focuses on the solution, R & D and manufacturing of humanoid robots and supporting equipment. It has been in the industry for more than ten years, forming a relatively stable sales volume and its own small ecosystem. Its main service objects are teaching and scientific research institutions. In his words, now and in the future, you can neither survive nor starve

insiders generally believe that the service robot market is still in its early stage, far from the period of competing for market share. Perhaps, for chenxiaosen, the admission of Internet giants such as Alibaba is a good thing, at least for now. In fact, it has little impact on us. On the other hand, now the (service) robot industry has had a foam. Some entrepreneurs seek investment and financing under the condition of incomplete and ambiguous technology, and hype up the fake market, which is not good for the industry. The participation of such a large team as Ali will intensify the screening and shuffling of enterprises in the robot industry, and enterprises without foundation may die out in 3~6 months

according to the prediction of an industry insider, no matter whether there is a tuyere or not, the sales volume of service robots will not change significantly this year at least. Maybe some traditional industries will publicize and layout with the help of the concept of robots. For example, some traditional vacuum cleaner manufacturers claim to start making vacuum cleaner robots. This will drive certain sales. However, this demand will return to the growth function of traditional enterprises after a year and a half of rapid growth, and will not bring much impact to the robot industry. He told me

there is no doubt that the service robot is the future market trend. However, whether there is a real market demand at this stage and whether the enterprise knows it or not remains to be considered

in fact, many enterprises know where the demand is, but they can't control the technology and cost for the time being. Chenxiaosen told that the intellectualization of the service robot has verified that there are three core technologies in the structure/process scheme and design requirements, which are environment screening and navigation, human interaction technology, and the technology for the robot to achieve autonomous transition in different environments. At present, enterprises in the market have not made breakthrough in the above three aspects. For example, in terms of interaction with people, they can not realize communication and the most basic mutual hand-in-hand transfer function. According to his summary, at present, the robot products sold in the market are mostly small mechanical bodies that operate independently and are locked in a small-scale environment without interaction with people or cooperation with robots

at present, the most mature market promotion is cleaning robots, such as sweeping robots. However, some people believe that this category is currently more conceptual products and can provide limited help in application. It can only bear 10%~15% of the human ground cleaning. And you can't dump garbage on your own. An insider said

at the same time, another difficulty faced by the service robot in the process of putting it into the market is that the application scenarios are not rich enough. The accumulation and improvement of application scenarios need to rely on mobile Internet, cloud computing capabilities and strong big data support. For service robots, what we value is not the machine, but the part of human learning, decision-making and execution ability. These learning abilities come from big data. Duanxingguang said

in addition, the research and development of robots requires a long cycle, and sufficient funds are a necessary guarantee. The above factors are just the advantageous resources controlled by internet giants such as bat. This also indicates that in the future, robot design and manufacturing enterprises and platforms are bound to cooperate with Internet enterprises to complement each other's advantages. At present, senhan technology has carried out technical cooperation with Baidu and Tencent, and it is revealed that the next step will be in-depth cooperation at the capital level. In the cooperation, senhan is responsible for carrier design and manufacturing, while Internet enterprises are good at software technologies such as brain, interaction and communication. Kangli Youlan is also negotiating with internet giants

although these are one step ahead in technology at this stage, robot enterprises are not worried about being subverted by new Internet giants, but holding hands with giants can undoubtedly go to a higher level and set the threshold for future competition

enter the home IOT

in front of the concept of smart home and home IOT, robot enterprises are a group of ambitious disruptors, and they can't wait to replace the legitimate red intelligence

although the smart market is close to saturation, various Internet enterprises are still pouring in to open up product production lines through their own operation or investment. For example, Gree and 360, which have announced to enter the business since this year, are the same. The opportunity behind their targeting is that it can be used as the core entrance in the smart home ecosystem

however, at present, the smart home ecosystem with intelligence as the core has not yet developed. Another view has emerged in the industry: perhaps robots are more suitable than intelligence to become the core of the family IOT. Duanxingguang believes that there are several problems in the smart home ecosystem with intelligence as the core port. On the one hand, the super app has limitations in its ability to connect and control various electrical appliances. On the other hand, many home appliances are limited by the basic hardware and can not meet the requirements of smart home. Flexible robots can make up for this deficiency and can be used as transit platforms and service personnel to effectively reduce the requirements for infrastructure. Therefore, it is expected to become the core port of the home IOT

the robot can be user-friendly, interactive and mobile controlled. It can also grow as a component and load components with multiple functions. Based on the above three characteristics, the robot must be the core control center of the future home IOT. Liuxuenan also pointed out that the subversion of robots is at the species level. All robots that can be made by human beings can be made, but not necessarily. According to his prediction, within ten years, the usage of service robots will reach the scale of today's iPhone, replacing intelligence as the new core port of smart home. The future and service robots will be a cooperative relationship. It is used in mobile and portable scenes, and the robot is used in relatively fixed interactive places


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